It seems like "I don't think I'd like to" is kinda a roundabout expression of "I don't want to", am I guessing right?

Native speaker’s answer
Rebecca
Yeah, that's right! "I don't think I'd like to" is a roundabout expression of "I don't want to." Here, it also implies that <personally> it's not something he wants to do, even if other people do. Ex: I don't think I'd like to go skydiving anytime soon. Ex: I don't think I'd like to watch a horror movie on Halloween.